In October, China's corporate credit index was 158.83 points, and the trend of steady improvement continued to consolidate. The General Administration of Market Supervision announced today (10th) that in October, 2024, China's corporate credit index was 158.83 points, up 0.47 points from September, and the steady improvement of corporate credit level continued to consolidate. Regionally, the top five provinces and cities in the credit index are Beijing, Anhui, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and Shaanxi. From the perspective of industry, the index of accommodation and catering industry increased the most. In addition, the ranking of scientific research and technical service industry index has improved significantly, and it entered the top 5 of the index for the first time this year. The ranking of leasing and business services rose by two places, reaching a new high this year.Guotai Junan: OPEC+ once again postponed the increase in production without changing the global increase in production trend, and the supply and demand will still improve. Guotai Junan issued a document saying that since December, the VLCC freight rate has dropped to a low level, and the MR freight rate has rebounded slightly. Recently, OPEC+ decided to postpone production for another quarter until April 2025, and then increase production month by month, until the end of September 2026, the cumulative increase of 2 million barrels per day was completed. If implemented as scheduled, it is estimated that the increase of OPEC+production in 2025-26 will drive the global increase by 0.4%/1.2%. In addition, North America and South America are expected to increase production in 2025. The increase of crude oil production will benefit the growth of oil transportation demand, and the supply of tankers will be rigid in the next few years, and the improvement of supply and demand and the rise of prosperity will still be expected, suggesting that there is an option to lower oil prices.Everbright Securities: Guide the innovative development of new technologies, new models and new formats in the power field. Everbright Securities Research Report stated that the National Energy Administration issued the Guiding Opinions on Supporting the Innovative Development of New Business Entities in the Power Field to guide the innovative development of new technologies, new models and new formats in the power field: Encourage virtual power plants to aggregate distributed photovoltaic, decentralized wind power, new energy storage, adjustable load and other resources to provide flexible adjustment capabilities for the power system; Support qualified industrial enterprises and industrial parks to carry out smart microgrid construction; Support to participate in the electricity market, in order to release more accurate node price signals; In principle, new business entities can be exempted from applying for power business licenses.
CITIC Securities: In November, the PPI turned positive more than expected, and the core CPI continued to improve. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, the price data in November 2024 showed that the boosting effect on the economy after the policy shift in late September initially appeared at the "price end", mainly in two aspects: "PPI turned positive" and "continuous improvement of core CPI". In terms of PPI, this month's PPI turned positive more than expected, and the main contributions came from "the effect of trade-in for new products is gradually appearing at the price end of related industries" and "the acceleration of physical workload of infrastructure has boosted the prices of raw materials industries in the upper and middle reaches". It is embodied in the remarkable improvement of PPI in computer machine manufacturing, communication terminal equipment manufacturing, automobile manufacturing, durable consumer goods (means of subsistence), non-metallic mineral products industry and other industries. In terms of CPI, although the year-on-year growth rate of CPI further declined to 0.2%, which was significantly lower than the market expectation, it was largely affected by the over-seasonal decline in food prices. The core CPI, which the market paid more attention to, continued to improve slightly on the margin, with the year-on-year reading rising from 0.1% at the bottom of September to 0.2% in October and 0.3% in November. In terms of splitting, the CPI decline of the three major durable consumer goods and services has narrowed compared with the same period of last year. On the whole, the combination of "CPI 0.2%+PPI -2.5%" reveals that China is still facing significant "low inflation" pressure, and it is still necessary to continue to strengthen the price level with a package of incremental policies. Looking back, if the boosting effect of the "two new" policies on the demand of downstream industrial products and the driving effect of the accelerated issuance of special bonds on the physical workload of infrastructure can be released continuously, it will provide some support for the improvement of PPI; However, if you want to see the PPI continue to turn positive significantly, you may have to wait for the policy to further push the physical workload and real estate start-up data, as well as the more stringent supply-side optimization policies in some areas with more production capacity.Hisense responded to the rumors of layoffs: all of them are false guesses. Hisense Weibo issued a statement saying: Thank you for your concern for Hisense. At present, the relevant data and information about Hisense's layoffs circulated on the Internet are all false guesses. Hisense will hold some media and self-media responsible for their bad behavior of deliberately exaggerating the number and proportion of layoffs. Hisense, like most enterprises, allocates human resources through evaluation mechanism. At the end of each year, the organization and employees are appropriately adjusted according to the performance of enterprises and individuals, and the middle and high-level employees of the company are treated equally, and there are gains and losses at all levels.59 Hong Kong stocks were repurchased by the company yesterday, with Tencent Holdings, AIA and Aauto Quicker having the largest amount of repurchase. On December 9, a total of 59 Hong Kong stocks were repurchased by the company, and the amount of repurchase of 11 stocks exceeded HK$ 10 million. Among them, Tencent Holdings, AIA and Aauto Quicker -W have the largest repurchase amounts, with the repurchase amounts of HK$ 701 million, HK$ 61.927 million and HK$ 48.4189 million respectively.
The US military suspended the flight of some Osprey transport planes and informed the Japanese government. On the 9th, the US military said that it had suspended the flight of some Osprey transport planes and informed the Japanese government of the relevant situation. According to the Associated Press, the suspension of the flight was related to the plane crash that almost happened at an air base in New Mexico on November 20th.The Singapore Straits Times Index was basically flat at 3,795.86.Japan's Minister of Economic Regeneration Ryosuka Akazawa: Steady progress is being made in overcoming deflation.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13